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Australian dollar daily update for 16th February 2018

BY DEB SHAW | 

The Australian dollar is fairly mixed today as the global stock market rebound runs out of steam. As a commodity currency, the Australian dollar is highly sensitive to global risk taking appetite. Today, investor sentiment appears to be waning based on global equity and commodity markets. Looking at Asian financial markets, key stock markets including China's Shanghai Composite and Japan's Nikkei 225 have only rebounded to a very limited extent. Austalia's ASX 200 is currently selling off. Relative to its major peers, AUD is currently flat against the US dollar while gaining against the euro and the British pound. As the currency has been fairly weak in the short-term, our outlook remains neutral. In the medium-term, we remain mildly bullish on the Australian dollar's prospects. 

AUD/USD is down slightly and trading just above 0.7920. EUR/AUD is down and trading above 1.5710. GBP/AUD is down and trading above 1.7690.

Looking at economic data from Australia this week, traders will be watching employment figures. NAB business confidence (12 vs. 11 prior) was ahead of previous numbers. Westpac consumer sentiment (-2.3% vs. 1.8% prior) was below previous figures. Tomorrow is the most important day, and we'll see employment changes, the unemployment rate and consumer inflation expectations. On Friday, RBA Governor Philip Lowe will deliver a speech. Last week, the trade balance was significantly below estimates thanks to higher-than-expected imports. 

Updated 
Outlook
Bearish

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