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Euro daily update for 13th October 2017


After a mild sell-off yesterday, the euro is back to strengthening this morning. Earlier today, Bloomberg reported "according to officials familiar with the debate" that the ECB is to consider extending QE until at least September 2018. The news service also reported that reducing quantitative easing to 30 billion euros a month from the current pace of 60 billion euros is a possible option. Apparently, Council members have yet to officially discuss options - but these are the ideas currently up for debate. The reaction in the euro has been fairly limited so far. As we said yesterday: after falling into oversold territory earlier, the ongoing euro rally doesn't need many reasons to keep strengthening. 

The EUR/USD exchange rate is now above 1.1830. Looking at EUR/JPY, the pair was down yesterday (and also this morning) and is currently just below 132.40. The euro is also trading down against the pound, with EUR/GBP now trading below 0.8980. 

This is a fairly light week for the euro in terms of economic data releases. Draghi's speech yesterday contained few surprises: he praised negative interest rates while re-iterating that asset purchases would continue until the bank sees sustained inflation. He also stated that interest rates would stay at current levels "well past" quantitative easing. Reactions in the euro were fairly limited. 


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